By Josh Knust, Never Say Wombat
I just wanted to send out an update to the Power Rankings for the one or two of you (hopefully) that is mildly interested in them. Below I have included two tables, one being the season-long rankings and the other with the same statistical calculations done over just the last three weeks. The season-long stats are important, but the more recent statistics can show us some trends that are developing in this crucial part of the season.
Week 7 gave us a couple of head-scratchers. Koch and Arnie’s Pizza Shop, the only team in the league without a win, took down in commanding fashion Bianchi and the Holzfallers, one of the best teams in the league. Lincoln had an uncharacteristically quiet week with several key players on byes and was edged out by the struggling defending champions, Upper Decker. The other games came out more or less as expected; Austin beat Jameson in the brother showdown, I beat Denton while he left a bunch of points on the bench, and T-Mike’s Demons beat Masker’s Donkeys in what seemed like a very uninteresting match. The game of the week was a shootout between Sullivan’s Rippers and Dave-O’s Tortugas, where Sully stretched his winning streak to five games.
Despite the suffering his second loss of the season, Bianchi remains atop the season-long Power Rankings. Sullivan continues to rise during his blistering streak, followed by Dave-O (whose only losses this year are to top-four teams) and Lincoln. In the beginning of the season, the Power Scores could be grouped into distinct tiers where a few teams had almost identical scores, but as the season progresses, we are starting to see the spectrum become more continuous and fluid along the spectrum. This is to be expected with larger sample sizes. Like I wrote a few weeks ago, teams like Jameson’s Dictators continue to seem better than their record shows, and teams like Denton’s Bootleggers may be worse than their record shows, this being due to the disparity between their Power Rank and ESPN standing.
The table for the last three weeks has some interesting information. First off, Stewart has had a fortuitous last three weeks, because despite ranking last in the power rankings over that streak, he wound up winning two games while never scoring above 85.4 points. Second, Lincoln is in a bit of a slide going 1-2 in matches and scoring his lowest two point totals of the season in the last two weeks. Sullivan and Dave-O have been on a tier of their own the last three weeks each scoring an average of more than 135 points per week
It is still too early to start running playoff scenarios, but I will put some of those together starting after Week 9. Something tells me that if the power keeps clustering at the top, a team with a losing record (6-7) is going to have a shot at making the six-team playoff. Teams in the middle with stolen wins against the top teams (like Mirthmobile beating the Holzfallers in W3) will set themselves up for good final positioning. Those middle teams also need to beat the people that they are supposed to beat, and not doing so could spell disaster for their shot at the playoffs (like Mirthmobile losing to the Swamp Donkeys in W6). In this case, Austin and the Mirthmobile are kind of a zero-sum example, but going forward, these types of wins or losses will be very definitive.
2018 Assist Raffle Tracker
T. Shannon - 24
J. Edwards - 1