By J. Knust
I know a lot of people run these scenarios for their own teams, but I was curious, so I compiled them for the whole of President’s League. President’s League is an incredibly competitive and flat league where only four teams are mathematical locks for the playoffs and another five teams still have a shot at the last two slots. Good luck to everyone who’s still in it.
The top four seeds will be some combination of Knust, Bogey, Bamrick, and Crispin. What complicates the matter is that Knust, Bogey, and Bamrick are so close together in both record and “Total Points For” on the season, with all three teams falling in a range of 12.6 point (or just over one point per week on average). Any one of these three could realistically come out of this week with a playoff by and the highest amount of points in the regular season, thus winning the $100 bonus. Crispin is further back in points and is unlikely to jump any of the other three locks, which helps simplify the scenarios, but he still factors into calculations and has an outside shot to win a first-round bye. The table below shows all of the scenarios.
The Bubble Teams:
Sully has a vast points lead over the other teams in this category. Even if he loses to Tex this week, the other teams on this list would have to score a nigh impossible amount of points to jump him. Win and he’s in; lose and he’s still likely in.
B-Nels is in a tough spot. He has a win-and-in, but it gets hairy if he loses. If he loses and moves to 6-7, it will come down to points between him and the other teams at that record. He doesn’t want this to happen, because he’s the lower point scorer between him, Tex, Lincoln, and Bianchi.
For all three of Tex, Lincoln, and Bianchi, each has to win their Week 13 game and beat out other people on points. These three teams are all facing win-and-score-well dogfights this week.
The table below shows all the scenarios for the bubble teams. Just look at how crazy things could get in the fight for the final playoff spot if any of Scenarios 3, 4, 7, and 8 were to happen. Like I said before, you better win and score well this week.
Outside Looking In:
Billy is on this list because even if he were to win and move to 6-7, there would realistically be two other teams with a 6-7 record or better with more tie-breaking points scored. Dave-O and Jeff are eliminated.
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