We’re past the halfway point of the 13-week regular season, and it’s time to take another look at the top league of this circle-jerk. The current power rankings are shown below.
The main story is how Bamrick, Dave-O, and Jeff are out-performing their records. All three teams have pretty solid rosters, and rank disproportionately high in the rankings if you consider their losing records. Contrast this with a team like B-Nelson’s Killers, who have a winning record but aren’t respected in the rankings. I’m on a five-game winning streak that started with my Week 3 win over Tex; this same game started Tex’s five-game losing streak. Bogey remains a team-to-beat. Bianchi, Billy, and Lincoln are floundering, and may be fortunate to be 3-4.
It should be noted that the two bottom teams in the rankings are the only two in the league without franchises. Do you need any more evidence as to why you should get a franchise? Wake up, sheeple!
It’s a little bit early to make any hard predictions, but we can at least start looking ahead to the playoffs. A team with a 7-6 record to end the season should be a lock for the playoffs, and it’s possible for a high-scoring 6-7 to get in, so keep that in mind when looking at the playoff scenarios.
Bogey and I are at the top of the standings, and we only have to win a couple more games to lock-up playoff slots. Right now, our focus is on closing out the regular season with a few wins and earning one of the coveted BYE spots.
Most of the league is clustered in the middle at 4-3 and 3-4. These eight teams are all still in the running for playoff spots, and with strong second halves, they could compete for the BYE slots. For these teams, each successive game is more and more important. Not to be overly simplistic, but after each week of games, the window for further movement in the standings closes a little because there are less games to be played. This means that there is less time to come back from a loss. Losses become crippling, especially when yielding games to other teams at similar records or better records than you. At this point in the season, wins are just a step forward, and losses are like taking two steps backwards.
No one is mathematically eliminated, but the 2-5 teams at the bottom would have to go on quite the tear to clinch a spot. Jeff and Tex are pretty much just fighting not to get relegated all the way down to Gold League. In fact, these two play each other in Week 8, and whomever loses this game is essentially done for the year, and they might want to consider retiring from fantasy football for good.
After this week, there could be few as one team at 4-4 and as many as seven teams at 4-4 depending on how things shake out. Are we going to see separation of the teams in the middle of the pack, or further clustering?
Week 8 Preview:
Phuket Rippers (Sully, 4-3) vs Fighting Emus (Bogey, 5-2)
It’s been a rough ten days for Bogey. Last week, he lost Big Ben for a few weeks to an injury. This week, both of his primary running backs were injured, and in the case of Shady McCoy, too dangerous to start. He was fortunate to pick up a win against Tex this week, and he now sits at 5-2. In a surprise announcement last night, Arian Foster retired from football. This coming week, Bogey will again miss the services of Carlos Hyde due to a bye. Normally this is one of the best rosters in the league, but he’s vulnerable this week. Sully isn’t in much better shape with Odell on bye and several players with questionable designations. I’ll be very interested to see how the addition of a running back distinction for Ty Montgomery helps Sully as he shuffles his line-up around. This could be the dumpster fire game of the week, but I think that Bogey’s strength at receiver will stabilize his team, and give him the win over Sully.
Dallas Flying Fortress (Tex, 2-5) vs Hawaii Humuhumu (Jeff, 2-5):
Both teams are 2-5, and as I mentioned above, the loser of this game is effectively done for the year. Can Jeff wake up from his nightmare of a season? Can Tex pull out of this downward spiral? I predict a win for Jeff and the Fishes, and I’m going to preemptively start my oil painting of Tex’s head on Icarus’s body. Here’s a preview:
Las Tortugas (Pledge, 3-4) vs Never Say Wombat (Knust, 6-1):
My all-time record against Dave-O is something like 0-3, and Dave-O put me on blast in his draft review, so I really want to win this one. If you don’t remember, here’s what he said about my draft:
I actually thought about writing a Bamrick-esque article torching Dave-O for this review, but I don’t want to tempt my own luck too much. I will leave him alone for the most part, but in defense of my first three picks, wide receivers that Dave-O found unimpressive, I’ll just leave this right here…
Back to the preview. This is an incredibly important game for Dave, because moving to 3-5 would put him in a hole where he’d have to finish the year on a 4-2 clip to make the playoffs. Both teams are close to full strength, and it should be a good match. Dave is incredibly strong at running back but weaker at receiver, and my team is the opposite. Which team’s second unit can step up? I don’t need the win here to vindicate my draft or my season, but I’m betting on myself: Wombats win.
The Mirthmobile (Austin, 3-4) vs Uncle Abe (Lincoln, 3-4):
This is a crucial game for both teams as the loser moves to 3-5. Each team is led by superstar running backs, and both are missing their primary receiver to byes this week. I lean towards Bamrick when looking at the rosters, but if Doug Martin comes back this week, that would provide Lincoln with some flexibility in setting his line-up. Even with Martin, I still like The Mirthmobile by a small margin.
Dual-Wielding Alpacas (Crispin, 4-3) vs Haarig Holzfallers (Bianchi, 3-4):
Another critical game for two teams in the middle of the standings. Joe and the Alpacas keep getting it done, but I just like Bianchi’s roster better. Plus, Joe is missing his three Ravens players this week, and Bianchi is at full-strength. Bianchi gets the win, and these teams even it up at 4-4.
TitoLeewoods Killers (B-Nels, 4-3) vs Truffle Butter (Billy, 3-4):
I don’t feel bad saying this here because I’ve said it to him personally, but Billy’s team has been one of the most disappointing groups of the season. He struggled a bit early with Le’Veon Bell on suspension, and I thought he’d be dangerous with a full squad after Week 3, but it just hasn’t happened yet. By most standards he’s probably a bit behind on the trade where he gave Zeke/Dorsett to Bianchi for Gurley/Fuller, even though Bianchi has since cut Dorsett. B-Nels has had his ups-and-downs, benefitting from a DeMarco Murray resurgence, but losing his top-two picks to injury (AP and Eddie Lacy). All things considered, I’d be happy to be 4-3 if I were him. This is a tough game to predict, but I’m still a believer in Billy’s roster. Another “underdog” pick, and both teams move to 4-4.
2018 Assist Raffle Tracker
T. Shannon - 24
J. Edwards - 1